Where Bullion meets Blockchain by Tom Coghill
Blockchain’s implementation for Gold is just the start of the wider adoption of Distributed Ledger Technology, set to transform how the world does business.
2017 saw an explosion in the profile of the ‘Cryptocurrency’. Yet, given the regulatory scrutiny of crypto markets and ICO’s, together with the continuing notoriety over Bitcoin’s use-case, the mainstream adoption of the crypto market is unclear. Nonetheless, the technology underlying these digital assets is paving the way for an evolution of both commodity and financial markets.
Blockchain’s implementation for Gold is just the start of the wider adoption of Distributed Ledger Technology, set to transform how the world does business. Now the Gold market can benefit from an innovation in Digital Asset financial technology that promises to transcend conventional market barriers.
The wholesale gold market may feel like there are an increasing number of new trading venues and products vying for liquidity, clamouring to be adopted, endeavouring to be set apart from more established peers. So why would the gold market need another product?
Indeed, given the promise that rapidly developing financial technology offers, the idea of a broadening number of platforms to deal gold, often seems counter-intuitive. With the advent of high velocity trading networks and aggregated liquidity pools, the converse effect might be anticipated and our expectation of what technology delivers, should be of consolidation, rather than of yet more choice. Ironically, the challenges facing the precious metals industry are in part driven by these technological gains and have in turn driven the need for innovation in a number of sectors.
Financial markets are contending with an expanding regulatory framework, that is focused on transparency and stability, as regulators react to behaviours and practices enabled by a leap in technical capability. New ways to communicate, transact and fund an evolving market, have required regulators to scrutinise participants to a greater degree and restrict conduct. This oversight coincides with potential impact from reforms to Banking Supervision of the Net Stable Funding Ratio, which may impact cost-income ratios for many liquidity providers.
Physical markets are also being held to ever greater standards over the quality of the supply chain as demands for provenance and traceability are ever increasingly more sensitive. Commodity businesses throughout the sector, from base metals warehousing, agricultural trading , energy utilities to metals refining, the physical commodity markets are facing greater and greater challenges, as they seek to avoid operational and settlement risks. Failures in ensuring the provenance of supply or the continued security of commodity inventory have damaged both reputations and bottom lines in recent years.
A new Digital Asset Class
Against this backdrop, a whole new digital asset class has been born in less that a decade. The cryptocurrency has emerged from the shadows of a hobby activity, shrouded in obscurity and misunderstanding and currently enjoys front page coverage, due to a meteoric price performance. Price action has been volatile too, as the threat of regulation continues to drive sentiment, as was notable in Bitcoin’s slide on 5th September at the announcement of a PBOC ban on Initial Coin Offerings in China.
Fig 1: Impact of trading currency, following increased regulation of Chinese exchanges in early 2017
Data sourced from Bitcoinity.org, attached
Clearly it has been a dramatic bull market, which many have likened to an investment ‘mania’. When Charlie Morris wrote in this publication in October 2015, the Bitcoin price was below $300. 2 years later the price has reached over $5000. At the time of writing, the cryptocoin tracking website CryptoCoinCharts.info, identifies 110 exchanges trading in 4406 cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin is the largest by Market Capitalisation, other emerging coins are catching up, notably the Ethereum network’s Ether and the Yuan Bao Coin or YbCoin, which both currently see greater daily volume by value, than Bitcoin.
Fig 2: The top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalisation, as of 5th Sep 2017
Data attached, from https://cryptocoincharts.info/coins/info
It’s not all shiny and new
New financial market products often evolve over many years, if not decades, to reach this scale. By comparison, the ‘crypto’ asset class has arrived overnight, exceeding a market capitalisation of over $200bio since the mining of Bitcoin’s genesis block on 3rd January 2009.
Fig 3: Bitcoin price in US$ has been dramatic
Data attached, from www.coindesk.com
From that first day of the Bitcoin genesis block, it took two years for the next alternative coin to emerge. By far, most of the thousands of these alt-coins are simply based on the original Bitcoin code, like Dogecoin, with some small tweak added. These alt-coins offer minimal material innovation that can distinguish them from the original Bitcoin.
Others however, such as Ether, offer real technical differences such as ‘smart contract’ features that yield functionality above and beyond that of digital money. They operate on their own blockchain, which has been designed for a broader application than use as currency alone.
Fig: Where innovation has followed from the advent of Bitcoin
Source: GLOBAL CRYPTOCURRENCY BENCHMARKING STUDY, Dr Garrick Hileman & Michel Rauchs, 2017
This is where innovation is taking place, in the development of asset-specific blockchains, and where the precious metals market has an opportunity to benefit from financial technology that can transcend numerous terminal markets, both broadening it’s base and deepening it’s offering. Blockchain based gold ownership has the potential to address the challenges of NSFR, market opacity, accounting treatment, balance sheet impact and high cost-income ratios for liquidity providers, by providing an efficient mechanism for the immediate transfer of title to physical assets between parties.
An Internet of ‘value’
It is the innovation of the blockchain solution itself that is the genuine marvel that this infant digital asset class has given the world. A blockchain allows for the prescription of an identity to a thing, it gives a mechanism to allocate that property to an owner, and allows that property to change hands, in full view of a community with their consensus agreement, with no possibility of corruption or confusion.
If Internet v1.0 was an ‘Internet of information’, for the sending and receiving of information, then Internet v2.0 can be considered the ‘Internet of value’, allowing us to send and receive assets digitally.
The ownership of an asset will no longer need to be recognised solely by the authority of a central product ‘governor’ – according to their individually maintained record – but by the consensus of a community with access to a distributed ledger, collectively confirmed and instantly open to inspection.
Fig 2: Distributed Ledger technology allows market participants to avoid intermediaries when transacting
Source: RM Assets Ltd
Blockchain provides this distributed network for transferring value, where identical copies of it’s participants’ transactional history, encrypted for ‘pseudonymity’, are kept in an irrefutable and immutable record. It’s not anonymous – every transaction details the movement from one wallet to another (which provides the certainty that the wallet does in truth hold that value). But the identity of holder of any and every wallet is privately known and is only revealed at the will of the holder.
Physical Gold, Digitally Traded
At The Royal Mint, we’ve put this technology to work by establishing a Royal Mint Gold blockchain and by creating a digital asset token to represent an ownership of physical gold.
In partnership with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, we’ve already built a distributed network to record changes in the ownership of Royal Mint Gold (RMG), which is allocated gold held in our vault at The Royal Mint in Llantrisant, South Wales. Our network is privately permissioned, meaning you have to ask our permission to join, as The Royal Mint are administrators of the network. All transfers effected on the network are published in the public domain at a transactional level, with all identities encrypted by the underlying RMG blockchain.
For the first time, it is now possible to own physical gold, vaulted by The Royal Mint, and receive proof of that ownership as a digital asset that is held in a digital wallet. Every new purchase of gold results in London Good Delivery gold being allocated in our vault alongside the simultaneous credit of RMG to the buyer’s RMG account. So every 1g holding of RMG represents a 1g of 9999’s fine gold that is secured in our vault.
An owner of RMG is then able to prescribe their holding to any other wallet on their network. The CME are developing a Digital Asset Trading platform where customers can deal RMG, which is due to launch later in the year.
The traditional commodity markets, be it spot, future or physical markets, have developed over time according to the specific requirements of their dominant end-user. In our universe, these would include the unallocated gold interbank spot market in London, the various financial and physical futures markets around the world, the Exchange Traded Fund and Commodity instruments, and the varying physical formats, including the LBMA’s own London Good Delivery standard.
While all these products seek to serve a broad user base, very few of them have the ability to transcend the market sectors that group end users together, be it miners, refiners, wholesale traders, financial institutions, investors or the consumer markets.
Striking balance between a commoditised product and the cost of entry for market access, often creates a bias that steers end-users to a favoured channel, with the market needing to pick between highly commoditised and cost efficient on one hand, versus variety of choice but at a price, on the other. Even within the commoditised markets – Unallocated Gold, futures, physical bars, equity exchange listed instruments – each having appeal to a varying corner of the market.
Digital Assets have the potential to transcend this segregated nature, allowing the same ownership structure – physical gold digitally traded – to be shared throughout the value-chain, the investment space and the risk-management community.
This innovation does not threaten to diminish the liquidity of existing market-places, but raises the profile of the investment opportunity for gold, reinforcing the argument for the safe, secure, physical ownership of gold in an efficient digital market with transparency and provenance.
The technology offers obvious synergies with the other initiatives that the global gold market is undertaking as an industry. These include efforts to ensure provenance, to provide transparency of liquidity, to ensure timely settlement, to expedite capital allocation and to provide proof of collateral, blockchain can offer a complementary solution that will benefit the gold market as a whole.
While the crypto markets may well face uncertainty from a lack regulation and disbelief as to their tangible value, there is no doubt that the technology of Digital Assets can redefine future financial markets…and in the case of Royal Mint Gold, that technology is already here.